Hamburger SV - Bayer Leverkusen
AH Bayer Leverkusen 0@1.94 (188bet)
Stake: EUR 5.32
Result: 1-1
Cashback

Bei Bayer ist unter der Woche endlich wieder der Spaß am Fussballspielen zurückgekehrt. Sogar Ballack flachste mit Hyypiä herum. Man merkt förmlich, dass die von Hyypiä und Ex-U19-Trainer Lewandowski trainierte Truppe gewillt ist, die Saison zu einem versöhnlichen Abschluss zu bringen. Und wer weiß: Wenn Gladbach weiterhin so stolpert, könnte mit einer Siegesserie vielleicht noch Platz 4 ergattert werden. Ich mein ja nur...
Heute in Hamburg stehen die Chancen laut Quoten 50:50, aber ich sehe das Spiel 60%-70% pro Bayer, einerseits wegen dem Zauber des neuen Trainers und andererseits wegen der unbestrittenen individuellen Klasse.

Paris Saint-Germain - Olympique Marseille
AH Paris Saint-Germain -0.75@2.10 (Expekt)
Stake: EUR 4.55
Result: 2-1
Gewinn: 2,50€

Tonight at Parc des Princes is a match between PSG and Marseiile.

PSG have 3 points less then Montpellier and a match more. Bad formfor them, they are without a win in last 4 matches. Expect Nene to come back into the side as well as defenders Mamadou Sakho, Alex and Maxwell. Momo Sissoko’s place would have been questioned but after being made captain last week it seems he is one of Carlo’s favourites. Expect Mathieu Bodmer to drop to the bench.After missing the cup defeat to Lyon, Clement Chantome will go to Doha, Qatar to undergo treatment on his hip injury.

On the other side, awful form of Marseille who didn`t won in las 10 matches, and in that period they even lose 8 matches. After being substituted against Bayern in the Champions League Loic Remy has returned to training this week and should be ok for the weekend. Souleymane Diawara will miss the rest of the season after picking up an injury recently. Nicolas Nkoulou is out as he has been suspended for two more games.

Clear home win for me!

Pick: christy.blogabet.com

(08.04.2012 15:09 )el-cangri-polaco schrieb:  Hamburger SV - Bayer Leverkusen
AH Bayer Leverkusen 0@1.94
Stake: EUR 5.32
Result: 1-1

Bei Bayer ist unter der Woche endlich wieder der Spaß am Fussballspielen zurückgekehrt. Sogar Ballack flachste mit Hyypiä herum. Man merkt förmlich, dass die von Hyypiä und Ex-U19-Trainer Lewandowski trainierte Truppe gewillt ist, die Saison zu einem versöhnlichen Abschluss zu bringen. Und wer weiß: Wenn Gladbach weiterhin so stolpert, könnte mit einer Siegesserie vielleicht noch Platz 4 ergattert werden. Ich mein ja nur...
Heute in Hamburg stehen die Chancen laut Quoten 50:50, aber ich sehe das Spiel 60%-70% pro Bayer, einerseits wegen dem Zauber des neuen Trainers und andererseits wegen der unbestrittenen individuellen Klasse.

ich hatte vor dem Spiel die gleiche Wette offen und habe dann nach dem eins zu null für Hamburg auf x getippt.

Sacramento Kings - Houston Rockets
AH Houston Rockets -4@2.03 (188bet)
Stake: EUR 2.43
Result: 87-104
Gewinn: 2,50€

Kings are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Kings are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
Kings are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Kings are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games.
Kings are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
Kings are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
Kings are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog.
Kings are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 0.5-4.5.

Rockets are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite of 0.5-4.5.
Rockets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.

Chievo Verona - AC Milan
Over 2.5 @1.935 (Pinnacle)
Stake: EUR 5.61
Result: 0-1
Verlust: 5,61€

Ac Milan visits Chievo in Verona.

I think this is a value bet, and I like it. The flying donkeys are playng an open football now that they are safe, no pressure on them, a lot of enthusiasm actually, Pellissier started to score, Paloschi red-hot, and Thereau or Cruzado behind them like good option on up-front. Rossoneri must win, so they have to attack, Ibra and Robinho can score at any time, El Shaarawy and Maxi Lopez on the bench can give a support if needed, while many absentees at the center and most of all in defence where De Sciglio will make its debuts.

Maybe Milan will win, but once again I choose to bet on goals, Chievo will not be compliant and can score, so if Lombardi want a victory, they must score twice, and then it will be over!

Pick: calcio2calcio.blogabet.com

27.11.11, 20:45 AC Milan - Chievo FT 4 : 0 (4 : 0) (0 : 0)
20.02.11, 15:00 Chievo - AC Milan FT 1 : 2 (0 : 1) (1 : 1)
16.10.10, 18:00 AC Milan - Chievo FT 3 : 1 (2 : 0) (1 : 1)

Atletico Nacional - Penarol
AH Atletico Nacional -1@1.909 (Pinnacle)
Stake: EUR 6.17
Result: 3-0
Gewinn: 5,61€

I'm placing this because Nacional, despite they are bad in the local championship, they are doing an excellent cup. Dorlan is back and they will play with full team, and they need to win to get the safe qualification.

On the other hand, Peñarol is already eliminated after past game against U. de Chile and now they travelled to Colombia with a B team, 5 important absences and the coacher is taking this game just an opportunity for new players to show the skills, because they are worried about uruguayan championship now, so it's absurd to think they will waste the energy on a game that has not value for them. Honor sometimes plays a big role on this kind of game, but this is just not the situation of that role just because that rol has the consequence of risking the performance on uruguayan league so I expect a lazy and/or unexperienced Peñarol playing against a focused and hard Atlético Nacional.

Pick: kawabunga.blogabet.com

FC Nurnberg - FC Schalke 04
AH FC Schalke 04 0@1.65
Stake: EUR 8.08
Result: 4-1
Verlust: 8,08€

Reiner Statistiktipp: Schalke momentan gut unterwegs und zudem nur einmal gegen Nürnberg verloren (insagesamt 17 Spiele gegeneinander)

19.11.11, 15:30 Schalke 04 - FC Nürnberg FT 4 : 0 (2 : 0) (2 : 0)
26.02.11, 15:30 Schalke 04 - FC Nürnberg FT 1 : 1 (0 : 1) (1 : 0)
25.01.11, 20:30 Schalke 04 - FC Nürnberg FT 3 : 2 (1 : 2) (1 : 0) n.V.
02.10.10, 15:30 FC Nürnberg - Schalke 04 FT 2 : 1 (0 : 0) (2 : 1)
17.01.10, 15:30 Schalke 04 - FC Nürnberg FT 1 : 0 (0 : 0) (1 : 0)
08.08.09, 15:30 FC Nürnberg - Schalke 04 FT 1 : 2 (0 : 1) (1 : 1)
17.05.08, 15:30 FC Nürnberg - Schalke 04 FT 0 : 2 (0 : 1) (0 : 1)
15.12.07, 15:30 Schalke 04 - FC Nürnberg FT 2 : 1 (2 : 0) (0 : 1)
24.07.07, 20:30 FC Nürnberg - Schalke 04 FT 2 : 4 (1 : 3) (1 : 1)
05.05.07, 15:30 Schalke 04 - FC Nürnberg FT 1 : 0 (0 : 0) (1 : 0)
03.12.06, 17:00 FC Nürnberg - Schalke 04 FT 0 : 0 (0 : 0) (0 : 0)
25.02.06, 15:30 Schalke 04 - FC Nürnberg FT 2 : 0 (0 : 0) (2 : 0)
21.09.05, 20:00 FC Nürnberg - Schalke 04 FT 1 : 1 (1 : 0) (0 : 1)
02.04.05, 15:30 Schalke 04 - FC Nürnberg FT 4 : 1 (3 : 0) (1 : 1)
27.10.04, 20:00 FC Nürnberg - Schalke 04 FT 0 : 2 (0 : 2) (0 : 0)
05.04.03, 15:30 FC Nürnberg - Schalke 04 FT 0 : 0 (0 : 0) (0 : 0)
26.10.02, 15:30 Schalke 04 - FC Nürnberg FT 1 : 1 (0 : 1) (1 : 0)

PS: Nürnberg zum ersten Mal in dieser Saison mit 4 erzielten Toren, Schalke zum ersten Mal in dieser Saison mit 4 Gegentoren. EIN WITZ!

Houston Rockets - Utah Jazz
AH Houston Rockets -5@1.92 (Expekt)
Stake: EUR 11.50
Result: 91-103
Verlust: 11,50€

Hier sprechen einige Faktoren einfach für Houston:
- Houstons Form (7-3) ist besser als die von Utah (4-6)
- Heimmannschaften dominieren in den direkten Vergleichen diese Saison (19.02. Houston vs. Utah 101-58)
- Heimstärke Rockets (20-8) gegen Auswärtsschwäche Jazz (9-20)
- Verletzungssorgen bei den Jazz (C.J. Miles + Bell + Howard)
- Amerikanische Experten gehen mehr auf Houston
- Eindeutige Trends:
Rockets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
Rockets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. Western Conference.
Rockets are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
Rockets are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Rockets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5.
Rockets are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Rockets are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite.
Rockets are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games.
Rockets are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.
Jazz are 16-35 ATS in their last 51 games following a ATS win.
Jazz are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Jazz are 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 Wednesday games.
Jazz are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Jazz are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
Jazz are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Jazz are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.
Jazz are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5.
Jazz are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win.
Jazz are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5.